Unraveling Markets Pose Challenges to ECB's Efforts, Warns Schnabel
Euro Zone Growth Weaker Than Predicted, Says ECB Board Member Isabel Schnabel
Member of the German advisory board of economic experts Isabel Schnabel poses ahead of a news conference in Berlin, Germany, November 6, 2019. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo
Euro Zone Growth Weaker Than Predicted
- Euro zone growth is weaker than predicted just a few months ago
Rate Hikes and Investor Reactions
- Investors are undoing some of the European Central Bank's past work
- ECB board member Isabel Schnabel says this does not automatically void the need for more rate hikes
Debate on Rate Hikes
- The ECB has raised rates at each of its policy meetings in the past 13 months
- Policymakers are debating whether to pause or to hike again to put inflation firmly on course to 2%
Arguments for More Rate Hikes
- Isabel Schnabel acknowledges the growth headwinds
- She raises several arguments suggesting that the job may not be done
Market Revisions and the ECB's Efforts
- Markets have revised their rate expectations on the weaker growth outlook
- This may have undone the ECB's past efforts, possibly requiring more action
Dismissing the "High for Longer" Premise
- Isabel Schnabel dismisses the idea of trading another rate hike for a promise to hold rates even longer
- She argues that such a promise would raise time inconsistency issues
Signs of Tightness in the Labor Market
- Indicators are signaling "unprecedented tightness" in the labor market
- Labor shortages can lead to steeper wage increases, fueling inflation
No Indications of a Deep or Prolonged Recession
- Isabel Schnabel argues that even if growth is weak, there are no indications of a deep or prolonged recession in the euro zone
Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Alison Williams and Alex Richardson
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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